Posts Tagged ‘commodities’
How Much Of The ‘Air’ In Netflix Was A Phony Push Caused By The Fed?

A chart of NFLX and some thoughts.
There are good and valid reasons for this 75% drop in 4 months. The stock deserved to have gotten crushed. But this is more than just bad company news. There are a bunch of other “names” that have been slammed to the ground of late (FSLR/MCP etc). Those who listened to the TV hosts, stockbrokers and “smart guy” talk over drinks deserve everything they get. But I have to ask,
The answer is that Ben’s contribution to this stockholder debacle is not zero. All the Fed talkers have said again and again they want to force people to buy risk assets. They succeeded. And along the way those that listened to Ben got stepped on.
For sure this will happen again and again. When money has no intrinsic value due to ZIRP it will create froth in prices of stocks, commodities and bonds. I can’t think of a dumber policy than that. I hope that Bernanke followed his own advice and loaded up on NFLX.
Published at Bruce Krasting’s blog >
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See Also:
- These Are The S&P 500 Key Levels (Until Europe Makes Or Breaks It)
- FED DESPERATION HITS: Get Ready For The Mother Of All Yield Chases
- Sorry, The Stock Market Just Isn’t Cheap
BP gains on spill settlement
European equities markets were lower Monday after a spokesman for the German government said a quick solution to the Eurozone debt crisis will not emerge from a meeting of European leaders scheduled for 23 October, after a plan for a solution was discussed over the weekend by G20 finance ministers and central bank leaders.
No details of the weekend discussions were released.
The FTSE 100 was down 0.54 percent to 5,436.7 in London, while the FTSE 250 dropped 0.85 percent to 10,250.4.
Oil explorer BP (LSE: BP) added 2.2 percent and lead gains on the 100 and in the energy sector after it said Texas-based Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC), which owned a 25 percent stake in the Gulf of Mexico oil rig that exploded and spilled oil into the Gulf last year, will pay to settle all claims over the spill and will drop claims of gross negligence against BP.
BP was one of three energy sector constituents to place in the top five gainers on the 100, with engineer and consultancy to the energy industry AMEC (LSE: AMEC) up 1.74 percent while Essar Energy (LSE: ESSR) added 1.42 percent, but the worst performer in the oil sector was Heritage Oil (LSE: HOIL), with a decline of 4.11 percent.
Premier Foods (LSE: PFD) was the best performer on the 250, adding 6.33 percent in a mostly lower food and beverage sector.
Security specialist G4S (LSE: GFS) was the worst performer on the 100, dropping 22.1 percent after it said it will buy Danish facilities services company ISS, also announcing that it will pay for part of the deal with a £2 billion rights issue, while travel agent Thomas Cook Group (LSE: TCG) had the worst day on the 250 with a decline of 5.44 percent.
Most miners were lower, with the worst performance in the sector coming from Talvivaara Mining Company (LSE: TALV), which was down 4.76 percent, followed by a 4.74 percent decline for Allied Gold Mining (LSE: ALD), while Centamin Egypt (LSE: CEY) led five gainers in the sector as it added 3.67 percent.
Banks were mixed, with Standard Chartered (LSE: STAN) best as it added 0.74 percent, while Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY) dropped 2.5 percent for the worst performance in the sector.
The FTSE Eurofirst 300 was down 1.04 percent to 965.38 while the IBEX fell 1.24 percent to 8,864.3, the CAC-40 was 1.61 percent lower to 3,166.06 and the DAX dropped 1.81 percent to 5,859.43.
Markets in Asia and the Pacific region were mostly higher on fewer concerns about the Eurozone economy after a meeting of the G20 finance ministers in Paris over the weekend agreed to at least part of a plan to get a handle on the region’s debt crisis and ahead of a meeting of European leaders scheduled for 23 October to further consider the issue, before a German warning not to expect a quick end to the crisis.
The Nikkei 225 was up 1.5 percent to 8,879.6 in Tokyo, while the Topix index added 1.75 percent to 761.88 and the Mothers market gained 1.07 percent to 412.15.
Carmakers saw gains as Toyota Motor (TYO: 7203) added 2.9 percent and Honda Motor (TYO: 7267) was up 3.6 percent, while game maker Nintendo (TYO: 7974) gained 3.2 percent and consumer electronics manufacturer Sony (TYO: 6758) was 5 percent higher.
Camera and optics maker Olympus Corp (TYO: 7733), however, dropped 24 percent after a report commissioned by dismissed president Michael Woodford and conducted by PricewaterhouseCoopers said there could be legal and regulatory inquiries into payments made to advisers in 2008, and after Mr. Woodford said his dismissal came because he had questioned those payments.
Elsewhere in the region, the Shanghai Composite was up 0.37 percent to 2,440.4, the Straits Times Index added 1.27 percent to 2,778.97 in Singapore, Taiwan’s Taiex was 1.4 percent higher to 7,461.12, Australia’s markets were up as the Sydney Ordinaries gained 1.61 percent to 4,337.9 and the S&P/ASX200 was up 1.66 percent to 4,275.4, the Kospi was 1.62 percent higher to 1,865.18 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 2.01 percent to 18,874.
India’s Sensex dropped 0.34 percent to 17,075.1.
New York equities markets were lower in midday trade, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.41 percent to 11,479.8 at just past 12:30 p.m. local time, while the S&P 500 had dropped 1.31 percent to 1,208.51 and the Nasdaq Composite was 1.6 percent lower to 2,625.15.
Crude oil prices were lower on Germany’s warning to not expect a quick end of the European debt crisis, with November contracts for West Texas Intermediate crude down 49 cents to $86.31 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while Brent crude was recently reported down $1.43 to $110.80 per barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London.
Metals prices were also lower in New York, with December gold down $14.10 to $1,668.90 per troy ounce at around 12:20 p.m. local time, while Silver was 51 cents lower to $31.66 per troy ounce and copper had dropped 3 cents to $3.38 per pound.
Man Group, Jupiter Fund Management advance
European equities markets were higher Friday, with gains coming on hopes for a solution to the region’s debt crisis as the G20 finance ministers meet in Paris to discuss the crisis and a rescue plan that could cause holders of Greek bonds to take bigger losses.
The gains came despite the third credit rating cut in three years for Spain from Standard and Poor’s.
The FTSE 100 was up 1.17 percent to 5,466.36 in London, while the FTSE 250 added 1.06 percent to 10,338.5 as miners and oil companies saw gains on higher commodities prices.
The biggest gainers on both the 100 and the 250, however, were by investment managers, as Man Group (LSE: EMG) added 5.07 percent to lead winners on the 100, while Jupiter Fund Management (LSE: JUP) gained 9.04 percent as the best performer on the 250.
Ferrexpo (LSE: FXPO) was up 7.28 percent to lead gains in the mining sector after UBS raised its recommendation on the iron-ore miner, while copper miner Antofagasta (LSE: ANTO) added 3.71 percent, while the five decliners in the sector were led by trader Glencore International (LSE: GLEN), which was down 3.03 percent and also led declines on the 100.
Hunting plc (LSE: HTG), which supplies the gas and oil industry, led gains in the energy sector as it added 5.41 percent Goldman Sachs imitated coverage with a “buy” recommendation, followed by a 4.71 percent gain for Tullow Oil (LSE: TLW), while the two decliners in the sector were led Salamander Energy (LSE: SMDR), which was 0.49 percent lower.
Most retailer were higher, but DIY retailer Home Retail Group (LSE: HOME) was the worst performer in the sector and on the 250 as it dropped 5.18 percent, while fellow DIY retailer Kingfisher (LSE: KGF) was down 1.07 percent.
The FTSE Eurofirst 300 was up 0.84 percent to 974.46 while the IBEX added 0.36 percent to 8,975.5, the Dax was 0.89 percent higher to 5,967.2 and the CAC-40 gained 0.97 percent to 3,217.89.
Markets in the Asia-Pacific region were mixed, with more down than up after Standard and Poor’s cut Spain’s credit rating from AA to AA-minus, and after Fitch Ratings cut ratings on European banks UBS (SIX: UBSN), Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY) and Royal Bank of Scotland Group (LSE: RBS).
The Nikkei 225 was down 0.85 percent to 8,747.96 in Tokyo, while the Topix index was 1.32 percent lower to 748.81 and the Mothers market dropped 1.05 percent to 407.77.
Optics and camera maker Olympus Corp (TYO: 7733) was down 18 percent after President Michael Woodford was voted out by the company’s board and replaced with Chairman Tsuyoshi Kikukawa, while camera and copier maker Canon (TYO: 7751) dropped 2.6 percent on the possibility that it could move production of inkjet printers after two plants in Thailand closed due to flooding.
The flooding in Thailand also played a part in declines for Honda Motor (TYO: 7267), which was down 2.4 percent after output at its Malaysia plant had to be reduced after the floods interrupted its supply of parts, while Nissan Motors (TYO: 7201), which earns 15 percent of its revenues in Europe, dropped 1.7 percent on concerns about the state of the Eurozone economy.
The Shanghai Composite was down 0.3 percent to 2,431.38, Australia’s markets declined as the Sydney Ordinaries dropped 0.86 percent to 4,269 and the S&P/ASX200 was 0.92 percent lower to 4,205.6, Taiwan’s Taiex fell 0.95 to 7,358.08 and the Hang Seng was 1.36 percent lower to 18,501.8 in Hong Hong.
Gainers in the region included the Straits Times Index, which added 0.37 percent to 2,744.17 in Singapore while South Korea’s Kospi was up 0.67 percent to 1,835.4 and the Sensex gained 1.18 percent to 17,082.17 in India.
New York equities markets were up in midday trade, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 0.75 percent to 11,564.6 while at the same time the S&P 500 was up 0.89 percent to 1,214.42 and the Nasdaq Composite was 0.86 percent higher to 2,642.76.
Crude oil prices were higher at 12:30 p.m. in New York as investors worried less about the possibility of a recession after the Commerce Department said that US consumers spent more as retail sales were up by 1.1 percent in September, with West Texas Intermediate crude up $2.48 to $86.71 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while at last report Brent crude was $3.29 higher to $114.40 per barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London.
Metals prices were also up at midday in New York as December gold added $6.30 to $1,674.80 per troy ounce, December silver was up 22 cents to $31.89 per troy ounce, December contracts for copper were 10 cents higher to $3.41 per pound and three-month contracts for copper gained $235 to $7,545 per tonne on the London Metal Exchange after going as high as $7,580.25 per tonne earlier.
Rolls-Royce group up on sale
European equities markets were lower Thursday after a warning from the European Central Bank, which said that making financial institutions that hold Greek bonds absorb more losses could imperil financial stability in the Eurozone, while markets were also hurt by data that exports from China were up 17.1 percent in September from last year, less of a gain than expected.
The FTSE 100 was down 0.71 percent to 5,403.38 in London, while the FTSE 250 dropped 0.87 percent to 10,230.5, despite top gains on both indices that were above 9 percent.
Rolls-Royce Group (LSE: RR) led gains on the 100, adding 9,9 percent after it said it will sell its 32.5 percent stake in jet-engine joint venture International Aero Engines to aerospace manufacturer Pratt & Whitney, which already owns a 32.5 percent stake in the venture, while Premier Foods (LSE: PFD) was up 9.94 percent as the food manufacturer recovered some of its recent declines.
Banks were lower, with Barclays (LSE: BARC) leading declines in the sector and on the 100 as it dropped 7.38 percent, while Royal Bank of Scotland Group (LSE: RBS) was down 6.39 percent and Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY) was 5.48 percent lower after Fitch Ratings cut its ratings on Lloyds and RBS from A to AA-minus.
Engineering group Renishaw (LSE: RSW) was the worst performer on the 250 as it dropped 16.15 percent.
Assets managers had a hard time of it after Ashmore Group (LSE: ASHM) said that the assets under its management were down 10.5 percent in the quarter ending 30 September, with Man Group (LSE: EMG) down 4.03 percent while Ashmore dropped 4.04 percent and F&C Asset Management (LSE: FCAM) was 6.15 percent lower.
Miners were lower after metals prices declined on the news regarding exports from China, with Aquarius Platinum (LSE: AQP) down 7.17 percent to lead the sector lower, while Antofagasta (LSE: ANTO) dropped 6.34 percent and Kazakymys (LSE: KAZ) was 5.74 percent lower, although trader Glencore International (LSE: GLEN) added 2.41 percent as the best performer of three gainers in the sector.
Restaurants and pubs operator Mitchells and Butlers (LSE: MAB) dropped 6.89 percent for the worst performance in a mixed travel and leisure sector after Piedmont Inc, which already owns 23 percent of MAB’s All Bar One chain, said it won’t go forward with an offer for the company.
The FTSE Eurofirst 300 was down 1.27 percent to 964.58 while the IBEX was 0.92 percent lower to 8,943.5 and the Dax and the CAC-40 each dropped 1.33 percent, to 5,914.84 and 3,186.94 respectively.
Markets in Asia and the Pacific region were mostly higher on optimism that leaders in Europe are close to a plan to handle the debt crisis there, and after the US Federal Reserve said in the minutes of its most recent meeting that it is still thinking about further asset purchases to help the US economy.
The Nikkei 225 was up 0.97 percent to 8,823.25 in Tokyo, while the Topix index added 0.72 percent to 758.83 and the Mothers market gained 0.67 percent to 412.09, with factory equipment makers up on new data showing that machine tool orders were up 20 percent in September compared to the same month last year.
Industrial robot manufacturer Fanuc (TYO: 6954) was up 3.4 percent while Tsudakoma Corp (TYO: 6217), which makes machines to manufacture textiles, added 6 percent and lathe-maker Tsugami Corp (TYO: 6101) gained 9.9 percent.
Semiconductor-related shares saw gains on positive news from European chip-making equipment manufacturer ASML Holding (Euronext: ASML) issued a positive quarterly report and said that it expects more orders in the fourth quarter, with Tokyo Electron (TYO: 8035) up 1.4 percent while wafer-maker SUMCO Corp (TYO: 3456) added 1.9 percent, Elpida Memory (TYO: 6665) was 4 percent higher and Advantest (TYO: 6857) gained 5.6 percent.
Other gainers in the region included Taiwan’s Taiex, which was up 0.62 percent to 7,428.33, while the Kospi added 0.75 percent to 1,823.1 in South Korea, the Shanghai Composite gained 0.78 percent to 2,438.79, Australia’s markets were up as the Sydney Ordinaries added 0.93 percent to 4,306 and the S&P/ASX200 was up 0.96 percent to 4,244.5, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was 2.34 percent higher to 18,757.8.
The Straits Times Index was 0.14 percent lower to 2,733.97 in Singapore, while India’s Sensex dropped 0.44 percent to 16,883.9.
New York equities markets were lower at just past 12:30 p.m. local time, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.07 percent to 11,395.3 while the S&P 500 had dropped 1.23 percent to 1,192.42 and the Nasdaq Composite was 0.34 percent lower to 2,595.85.
Crude oil prices were lower after the US Energy Information Administration said that crude oil stockpiles in the US were up by 1.3 million barrels last week against an expected decline, although gasoline and distillates in storage dropped by 4.1 million barrels and 2.9 million barrels respectively.
November contracts for West Texas Intermediate crude was down $1.55 to $84.02 per barrel in midday trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while the latest reports showed Brent crude down $1.06 to $110.30 per barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London.
Metals prices were also lower at midday in New York, with December gold down $18.90 to $1,663.70 per troy ounce while December silver was $1.13 lower to $31.66 per troy ounce and December copper had dropped 8 cents to $3.31 per pound.
Ferrexpo leads London miners higher
European equities markets were higher Wednesday after both the European Commission President and the European Union’s Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner said that banks need to be shored up as part of the answer to solving the Eurozone’s debt crisis, but gains came only after earlier declines on a delay in Slovakia’s approval of a Eurozone bailout fund after a vote on the issue failed Tuesday.
The FTSE 100 added 0.85 percent to 5,441.8 in London, while the FTSE 250 was up 1.62 percent to 10,320.
Miners were higher as copper prices rose on declining inventories that indicated demand is up, with iron-ore miner Ferrexpo (LSE: FXPO) turning in the best performance in the sector as it added 7.91, while Eurasian Natural Resources (LSE: ENRC) was the best performer on the 100 as it gained 7.44 percent, with Antofagasta (LSE: ANTO) and Kazakhmys (LSE: KAZ) also among the top five gainers on the 100, adding 6.87 percent and 5.49 percent respectively.
Online gambler Betfair Group (LSE: BET) led gains on the 250, adding 8.48 percent, but two other gamblers were the only two decliners in the travel and leisure sector as casinos and online gambling operator Rank Group (LSE: RNK) was down 0.48 percent and online gambler Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (LSE: BPTY) dropped 0.09 percent.
Man Group (LSE: EMG) dropped the most on the 100 as the investment managers were down 5.96 percent, while the worst performance on the 250 came from food manufacturer Premier Foods (LSE: PFD), which dropped 19.98 percent in a mostly higher sector, although brewer SABMiller (LSE: SAB) declined 0.72 percent and food processor Tate & Lyle (LSE: TATE) was down 0.24 percent.
The energy sector was mostly higher, led by a 7.78 percent gain for oil and natural gas explorer and producer Afren (AFR), but the five decliners in the sector were led by Lamprell (LSE: LAM) after the oil rig builder and refurbisher dropped 14.96 percent.
Banks and insurers were both higher as Barclays (LSE: BARC) led banks as it added 6.53 percent and Amlin (LSE: AML) was the best performer among insurers, gaining 7.95 percent.
The FTSE Eurofirst 300 was up 1.5 percent to 975.81 while the IBEX added 2.05 percent to 9,026.5, the Dax was 2.21 percent higher to 5,994.47 and the CAC-40 gained 2.42 percent to 3,229.76.
Markets in Asia and the Pacific region were mixed, with gains for some coming on the possibility that China could be poised to help equities markets there after a state-owned investor bought shares of the nation’s biggest banks recently, causing speculation that stocks are undervalued in China.
But Japan’s markets were mostly lower after US aluminium producer Alcoa (NYSE: AA) reported earnings below analyst predictions on higher production costs and slower demand growth, with the Nikkei 225 down 0.4 percent to 8,738.9 while the Topix index was 0.21 percent lower to 753.44 but the Mothers market managed to add 0.68 percent to 409.35.
Several companies saw declines after flooding in Thailand interrupted production there, including a 2.2 percent drop for Honda Motor (TYO: 7267), while camera maker Nikon (TYO: 7731) was down 3.5 percent and chemical engineering specialist Showa Denko (TYO: 4004) was 5.1 percent lower.
Game maker Nintendo (TYO: 7974), which gets 40 percent of its sales in the America, was down 2.5 percent.
Shippers were higher after cargo rates went up.
Along with Tokyo’s markets, Taiwan’s Taiex was down 0.22 percent to 7,382.35 and Australia’s markets declined, with the Sydney Ordinaries dropping 0.52 percent to 4,266.4 while the S&P/ASX200 was 0.55 percent lower to 4,204.3, but the Kospi was up 0.81 percent to 1,809.5 in South Korea, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 1.04 percent to 18,329.5, Singapore’s Straits Times Index was 1.66 percent higher to 2,737.75, the Sensex was up 2.55 percent to 16,958.4 in India, and the Shanghai Composite gained 3.04 percent to 2.420.
New York equities markets were up in midday trade as the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1.12 percent to 11,544.3 while at the same time the S&P 500 was up 1.45 percent to 1,212.82 and the Nasdaq Composite was 1.26 percent higher to 2,615.68.
Crude oil prices were mixed at just before 12:30 p.m. in New York as November contracts for West Texas Intermediate crude were down 15 cents to $85.66 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, but Brent crude was recently reported up 94 cents to $111.67 per barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange in London.
The US Energy Information Administration’s weekly US inventories report was delayed until Thursday due to Monday’s Columbus Day holiday, while both the International Energy Agency and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries cut their oil demand forecasts.
Metals prices were higher in New York trade, with December gold up $15.40 to $1,676.40 per troy ounce in midday trade while December silver added 50 cents to $32.50 per troy ounce and December copper had gained 10 cents to $3.39 per pound in New York while three-month copper was up $239 to $7,529 per tonne on the London Metal Exchange.
Copper prices were helped higher by a weaker US dollar and LME-monitored inventories dropped 1,525 tonnes while Shanghai inventories were also reported to be lower.